Threshold behaviour of a stochastic SIRS Lévy jump model with saturated incidence and vaccination

Abstract

A stochastic SIRS system with $ \mathrm {L\acute{e}vy} $ process is formulated in this paper, and the model incorporates the saturated incidence and vaccination strategies. Due to the introduction of $ \mathrm {L\acute{e}vy} $ jump, the jump stochastic integral process is a discontinuous martingale. Then the Kunita's inequality is used to estimate the asymptotic pathwise of the solution for the proposed model, instead of Burkholder-Davis-Gundy inequality which is suitable for continuous martingales. The basic reproduction number $ R_{0}^{s} $ of the system is also derived, and the sufficient conditions are provided for the persistence and extinction of SIRS disease. In addition, the numerical simulations are carried out to illustrate the theoretical results. Theoretical and numerical results both show that $ \mathrm {L\acute{e}vy} $ process can suppress the outbreak of the disease.

Keywords

• stochastic sirs model
• lévy process
• kunita's inequality
• extinction