Spatial SIRD model with different risk groups – multiagent approach for modelling an epidemic

Abstract

This paper highlights the use of software agents and simulating real-world medical phenomena. We start with a brief overview of different approaches and tools for developing software agents and running simulations. One of the more recent tools was utilized in this paper to develop a model of disease spread in a population of agents and for performing experiments. We proposed an extension of the SIRD model, which includes a new state for agents, spatial component, and also different risk groups based on age. Multiple factors affect the longevity of a pathogen in a given population, for instance, its infectivity and deadliness. This paper shows interesting results of extensive experiments performed with novel, modified SIRD model and impact of key factors on disease spread.

Keywords

• Software agents
• agent systems
• modelling and simulation
• epidemics