Multidimensional Frailty Instruments Can Predict Acute Exacerbations Within One Year in Patients with Stable Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease: A Retrospective Longitudinal Study

Abstract

Lujie Wei,1,* Pingyang Li,2,* Xiaofeng Liu,1 Yuxia Wang,1 Zhengping Tang,1 Hang Zhao,1 Lu Yu,3 Kaixiu Li,1 Jianping Li,1 Min Du,4 Xinzhu Chen,2 Xin Zheng,2 Yixiong Zheng,5 Yao Luo,2 Jing Chen,5 Xiamin Jiang,6 Xiaobing Chen,7 Huaicong Long1 1Geriatric Intensive Care Unit, Sichuan Provincial People’s Hospital, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, Chengdu, Sichuan, People’s Republic of China; 2Medical College, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, Chengdu, Sichuan, People’s Republic of China; 3Department of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine, Sichuan Provincial People’s Hospital, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, Chengdu, Sichuan, People’s Republic of China; 4Department of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine, Nanbu County People’s Hospital, Nanbu, Sichuan, People’s Republic of China; 5College of Medicine and Life Sciences, Chengdu University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Chengdu, Sichuan, People’s Republic of China; 6Clinical College, North Sichuan Medical College, Nanchong, Sichuan, People’s Republic of China; 7Department of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine, Affiliated Hospital of North Sichuan Medical College, Nanchong, Sichuan, People’s Republic of China*These authors contributed equally to this workCorrespondence: Huaicong Long, Geriatric Intensive Care Unit, Sichuan Provincial People’s Hospital, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, Chengdu, Sichuan, 610000, People’s Republic of China, Tel [phone], Fax [phone], Email [email protected]: Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is closely associated with frailty, and prevention of acute exacerbations is important for disease management. Moreover, COPD patients with frailty experience a higher risk of acute exacerbations. However, the frailty instruments that can better predict acute exacerbations remain unclear.Purpose: (1) To explore the factors influencing frailty and acute exacerbations in stable COPD patients, and (2) quantify the ability of multidimensional frailty instruments to predict acute exacerbations within 1 year.Patients and methods: In this retrospective longitudinal study, stable COPD patients were recruited from the outpatient department of Sichuan Provincial People’s Hospital from July 2022 to June 2023. COPD patients reviewed their frailty one year ago and their acute exacerbations within one year using face-to-face interviews with a self-developed frailty questionnaire. Frailty status was assessed using the Frailty Index (FI), frailty questionnaire (FRAIL), and Clinical Frailty Scale (CFS). One-way logistic regression was used to explore the factors influencing frailty and acute exacerbations. Multivariate logistic regression was used to establish a prediction model for acute exacerbations, and the accuracy of the three frailty instruments was compared by measuring the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC).Results: A total of 120 individuals were included. Frailty incidence estimates using FI, FRAIL, and CFS were 23.3%, 11.7%, and 15.8%, respectively. The three frailty instruments showed consistency in COPD assessments (P< 0.05). After adjusting for covariates, frailty reflected by the FI and CFS score remained an independent risk factor for acute exacerbations. The CFS score was the best predictor of acute exacerbations (AUC, 0.764 (0.663– 0.866); sensitivity, 57.9%; specificity, 80.0%). Moreover, the combination of CFS plus FRAIL scores was a better predictor of acute exacerbations (AUC, 0.792 (0.693– 0.891); sensitivity, 86.3%; specificity, 60.0%).Conclusion: Multidimensional frailty assessments could improve the identification of COPD patients at high risk of acute exacerbations and facilitate targeted interventions to reduce acute exacerbations in these patients.Keywords: chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, frailty, acute exacerbations

Keywords

• chronic obstructive pulmonary disease
• frailty
• acute exacerbations