Water resource vulnerability assessment in Hubei Province: a case study

Abstract

Abstract In view of the different views of academia on the weight allocation of vulnerability assessment indicators, this study creatively proposed a data-based objective evaluation framework of water resource vulnerability, and applied it to the evaluation of water resource vulnerability in Hubei Province. According to the conceptual model of DPSIR proposed by the United Nations, five vulnerability factors are proposed: driving force, pressure, state, influence and response. In this study, 15 indicators were selected and the projection tracing model was used to identify vulnerability. Aiming at the complex problem of optimization calculation of projection index function in the projection tracing model, the accelerated genetic algorithm is used to speed up the optimization speed, solves the optimization problem in the process of projection tracing, and determines the objective weight of all indicators. Example calculation shows that the model can deal with complex multi-index optimization problems, and is an effective way to solve the comprehensive evaluation of complex vulnerability, and the weighting method is important for the evaluation of water resources vulnerability. The results of this paper show that the combination of projection tracing method and machine learning algorithm can improve the efficiency, objectivity and accuracy of high-dimensional data analysis, and can provide scientific basis for policy makers.

Keywords

• Water resources system
• Vulnerability assessment
• Projection pursuit
• Accelerated genetic algorithm