Infection and Drug Resistance (Oct 2022)

Predictive Value of Combination of Procalcitonin and Predisposition, Infection, Response, and Organ Dysfunction (PIRO) System in Septic Patients with Positive Blood Cultures in the Emergency Department

  • Yang L,
  • Lin Y,
  • Zhang X,
  • Wei B,
  • Wang J,
  • Liu B

Journal volume & issue
Vol. Volume 15
pp. 6189 – 6202

Abstract

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Long Yang,1,* Yue Lin,2,* Xiangqun Zhang,1 Bing Wei,1 Junyu Wang,1 Bo Liu1 1Emergency Medicine Clinical Research Center, Beijing Chao-Yang Hospital, Capital Medical University, & Beijing Key Laboratory of Cardiopulmonary Cerebral Resuscitation, Beijing, 100020, People’s Republic of China; 2Department of Radiology, China-Japan Friendship Hospital, Beijing, 100029, People’s Republic of China*These authors contributed equally to this work Correspondence: Bo Liu; Junyu Wang, Emergency Medicine Clinical Research Center, Beijing Chao-Yang Hospital, Capital Medical University, & Beijing Key Laboratory of Cardiopulmonary Cerebral Resuscitation, Beijing, 100020, People’s Republic of China, Tel/Fax +86 10-51718171, Email [email protected]; [email protected]: Procalcitonin and predisposition, infection, response, and organ dysfunction (PIRO) system have high predictive value for the prognosis of critically ill patients. There are few studies on the predictive value of patients with positive blood cultures. The aim of the study was to evaluate risk stratification and sepsis-related mortality in patients with positive blood cultures via procalcitonin (PCT) combined with the PIRO system in emergency departments (ED).Methods: A total of 1074 patients with positive blood cultures were admitted to Beijing Chao-Yang Hospital ED from December 2017 to October 2020. Their serum PCT was recorded, along with a Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score, Mortality in Emergency Department Sepsis (MEDS) score, Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II (APACHE II) score, and PIRO score to predict the prognosis of septic patients with positive blood culture in terms of ICU (intensive care unit) admission, multiple organ dysfunction syndrome (MODS) development, and 28-day mortality. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves and logistic regression analysis were used to assess the prognostic value of the scoring systems.Results: A total of 978 patients met the inclusion criteria. PCT, MEDS, APACHE II, and PIRO scores were found to independently predict ICU-admission, MODS development, and 28-day mortality (P< 0.05), whereas SOFA did not. The AUC values of the PCT, MEDS, APACHE II, and PIRO scores for ICU-admission were 0.620, 0.740, 0.780, and 0.751, respectively. In the prediction of 28-day mortality, the AUC values of PCT, MEDS, APACHE II, and PIRO were 0.782, 0.745, 0.805, and 0.831, respectively. The AUC values combined PCT and PIRO system in predicting MODS and 28-day mortality were better than when predicting ICU-admission.Conclusion: This study indicates that PCT combined with the PIRO scoring system has a higher predictive value and is superior in predicting MODS and 28-day mortality in septic patients with positive blood cultures.Keywords: procalcitonin, PIRO scoring system, positive blood culture, 28-day mortality

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