Geographical variation of COVID-19 vaccination coverage, ethnic diversity and population composition in Flanders

Abstract

The vaccination coverage in Flanders is high, but some regions show lower vaccination willingness as compared to the overall vaccination coverage. Beginning November of 2021, the vaccination rate in Flanders was above 93% in age groups above 45 years, and around 85% in the age groups 12 to 44 years. Apart from Flanders as a whole, focus here is on the health sector Maasland, which has a slightly lower vaccination rate, especially in the age groups 12 to 44 years. In the Maasland region, located on the eastern border of Flanders, there are between 1% and 10% less vaccinated individuals than expected according to the vaccination rate in the whole of Flanders, with lowest vaccination rates in the south of the Maasland region. We study the impact of ethnic diversity in the population, population composition with respect to the ethnicity of individuals (in the sense of how the local population composition differs from the Flemish average), and socio-economic status on the vaccination rate at the level of the statistical sector, apart from the effect of age. We explain the statistical methods to investigate geographical differences and illustrate how one can deal with incomplete information in vaccination registries. Ethnic diversity in a region is associated with lower vaccination rates, as is a lower regional socio-economic status. The composition of the population in Maasland is associated with a 35% reduction in the odds to get vaccinated as compared to the overall Flemish population.

Keywords

• COVID-19 pandemic
• Spatial model
• Ethnic diversity
• Vaccination willingness