E3S Web of Conferences (Jan 2021)

Emergency decision-making method based on multi-attribute intuitionistic fuzzy and evidence theory

  • Xu Xiaoyue,
  • Fang Danhui,
  • Song Yinghua

DOI
https://doi.org/10.1051/e3sconf/202125302027
Journal volume & issue
Vol. 253
p. 02027

Abstract

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Multi-attribute emergency decision-making problems have the characteristics of incomplete information and shortage of response time. Evidence theory can effectively express uncertain information in the decision-making process. However, evidence theory requires that the condition of evidence independence is met, and the evaluation information of experts is often vague. Therefore, an emergency decision-making method based on intuitionistic fuzzy sets and evidence theory is proposed. First, each expert gives an intuitionistic fuzzy evaluation of each emergency plan. Secondly, the proposed intuitionistic fuzzy similarity calculation method is used to obtain the similarity between experts and determine the expert weight. The attribute weight is known, the intuitionistic fuzzy evaluation is converted into a Mass function, and the evaluation of expert's decision-making plan is revised and fused using evidence theory to obtain the final decision. Finally, an example analysis proves that the model is feasible and effective.