iScience (Sep 2022)

Hidden challenges behind ecosystem services improvement claims

  • Qing Yang,
  • Gengyuan Liu,
  • Linyu Xu,
  • Sergio Ulgiati,
  • Marco Casazza,
  • Yan Hao,
  • Zhongming Lu,
  • Xiaoya Deng,
  • Zhifeng Yang

Journal volume & issue
Vol. 25, no. 9
p. 104928

Abstract

Read online

Summary: Substantial evidence indicates that China’s afforestation statistically contributed to the ecosystem services (ES) improvement. However, we found the potential challenges behind this improvement, especially in water-limited areas. We propose an attribution analysis method, which can assess the specific contribution of natural, human and cognition degree drivers to ES dynamics. The results found that the ratio of natural and human drivers in the area north of China’s 400 mm precipitation isopleth is 2:7. This means local vegetation capacity has already exceeded water limitation, implying a conflict between nature and humans. However, the natural contribution in the area between 400 and 800 mm precipitation isopleth is negative, whereas the human contribution is 91%. This means this area has fragile natural conditions and needs more flexible policies. The ratio of natural and human drivers in the region south of 800 mm precipitation isopleth is 6:3, suggesting the ecological policies here can be maintained.

Keywords