Estimation of cardiovascular risk in a population, according to two predictive tables

Abstract

Background: diseases of the heart, cerebrovascular and of the arteries, arterioles and capillaries are among the first ten causes of death in Cuba. Cardiovascular risk is the probability that a person develops a cardiovascular event in a given period of time. Objective: to estimate the cardiovascular risk in a population of the November 27 primary health care area according to two predictive tables and to compare both predictions. Methods: a cross-sectional descriptive study for the estimation of cardiovascular risk was carried out in a population of 40 to 70 years of age, in 27 de Noviembre health area of the Marianao municipality, Havana, in 2018, according to two predictive tables: one of the World Health Organization/International Society of Hypertension with cholesterol values and the other one of Gaziano’s non-laboratory-based method. Both determinations were compared. The variables used were age, sex and personal pathological history, which were obtained through a structured interview. Blood pressure, weight, height were measured and body mass index was calculated. 85 individuals constituted the sample, all of them had the biochemical cholesterol determinations and signed the informed consent. Results: half of studied subjects had hypercholesterolemia, and according to Gaziano's tables almost a quarter was estimated to have high and very high cardiovascular risk. Conclusions: Gaziano's tables allowed a better stratification of cardiovascular risk estimates in this population. DeCS: CARDIOVASCULAR DISEASES; RISK FACTORS; CROSS-SECTIONAL STUDIES; HEALTH STATUS INDICATORS; PREDICTIVE VALUE OF TESTS.

Keywords

• factores de riesgo, riesgo cardiovascular, tablas predictivas