Infectious Disease Modelling (Sep 2024)

Parameter identifiability of a within-host SARS-CoV-2 epidemic model

  • Junyuan Yang,
  • Sijin Wu,
  • Xuezhi Li,
  • Xiaoyan Wang,
  • Xue-Song Zhang,
  • Lu Hou

Journal volume & issue
Vol. 9, no. 3
pp. 975 – 994

Abstract

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Parameter identification involves the estimation of undisclosed parameters within a system based on observed data and mathematical models. In this investigation, we employ DAISY to meticulously examine the structural identifiability of parameters of a within-host SARS-CoV-2 epidemic model, taking into account an array of observable datasets. Furthermore, Monte Carlo simulations are performed to offer a comprehensive practical analysis of model parameters. Lastly, sensitivity analysis is employed to ascertain that decreasing the replication rate of the SARS-CoV-2 virus and curbing the infectious period are the most efficacious measures in alleviating the dissemination of COVID-19 amongst hosts.

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