Combined climate impacts and vulnerability index on coastal ecosystems in prediction of future scenarios: extended sustainable indicator tool for adaptive strategy

Abstract

Article Highlights Extension of methodology that integrates the climate variables (temperature, precipitation, and sea-level rise) with the changes of environment physical traits (CCVI) due to climate change impact were designed for coastal vulnerability assessment. The combined CCVI used ranked the relative risk by numerical vulnerability based on the physical properties for each of the marine coastal zone showing the potential hazard exacerbated by climate change and sea-level rise. Coastal areas of the Marudu Bay study area will experience a warmer atmosphere and increased total precipitation, and the sea level will rise under RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5 at the regional measure. Thus, the study can be utilized as an extension to develop an effective adaptation strategy that is more targeted based and more focused type of the management plan.

Keywords

• Climate change
• Sea-level rise
• Coastal
• Vulnerability