A ML-Based Wind Speed Prediction Model with Truncated Real-Time Decomposition and Multi-Resolution Data

Abstract

Accurate wind speed prediction is of importance for long-span cross-sea bridges. To this end, data decomposition techniques are usually employed to promote accuracy of the prediction model. Since wind speed data come sequentially, real-time decomposition should be adopted. However, real-time decomposition may degrade the accuracy due to the end effect. In this paper, a novel scheme of real-time decomposition that is a combination of truncated real-time decomposition and multi-resolution data is developed. Specifically, truncated real-time decomposition firstly denoises the data and eliminates the end effect; high-resolution data are then introduced to compensate for the information loss. Further, a novel wind speed prediction model that consists of the proposed scheme and neural networks is proposed. Specifically, two gated recurrent unit neural networks are employed to extract features from the obtained original-resolution and high-resolution data, respectively, and a multi-layer perceptron is adopted to utilize extracted features and make predictions. The proposed model is validated on the monitoring wind speed data of two long-span cross-sea bridges. Specifically, the mean absolute error and the root of mean square error of the proposed model on the two datasets are 0.334, 0.445 and 0.233 and 0.316 m/s, which are smaller than benchmark models and demonstrate superiority of the proposed model.

Keywords

• wind speed prediction
• data decomposition
• multi-resolution data
• machine learning
• long-span bridge