The Analysis of Unemployment Degree using Econometrics Methods

Abstract

In the shown material I will analyze the evolution of the unemployment rate registered in the time period during January 1. 2001 and March 30. 2007 by using the Box Jenkins model. The model is based on the ARIMA processes and with its help a large number of time series met in economy can be pattern. The steps that have to be follow are shown to transform a time series and then they have to be covered, in the single case shown by the registered unemployment rate and ending with a prognoses for a future period.

Keywords

• time series
• methodology
• corelograma
• estimation
• unemployment
• rate.