Ascertaining Optimal Real-Time Reservoir Operation Policy Using Modern HOA Algorithm and Based on the SVM Method to Preserve the Water Right of Shadegan Wetland

Abstract

The most important goal in the planning and optimal operation of the reservoir system is to determine the various operating policies that can operate properly Under the drought condition and existing uncertainties. In this study, a combination of the Horse herd optimization algorithm (HOA) and WEAP simulator model was used to extract the optimal reservoir exploitation policies in the form of specific optimization and objective functions were calculated based on the results of the implementation of each scenario and the total operating period for Maroon and Jarreh reservoir dams. The results showed that the average error of the optimal rules extracted from the support vector machines relative to the output of the HOA algorithm in the validation stage is less than 17%, which indicates the high efficiency of this method in predicting the optimal pattern of the dam control curve in real-time. Moreover, evaluation of different scenarios showed that agricultural development in areas 1, 4, and 5 of Ramhormoz will be reduced by an average of 50% and also a 10% reduction in inflow to Marun and Jarreh dams will have negative effects on Shadegan wetland.

Keywords

• horse herd algorithm optimization
• real operation
• simulation
• support vector machine