Endocrine Connections (Sep 2022)

Low muscle mass and high visceral fat mass predict mortality in patients hospitalized with moderate-to-severe COVID-19: a prospective study

  • Fabyan Esberard de Lima Beltrão,
  • Daniele Carvalhal de Almeida Beltrão,
  • Giulia Carvalhal,
  • Fabyo Napoleão de Lima Beltrão,
  • Igor Motta de Aquino,
  • Thaíse da Silva Brito,
  • Barbara Costa Paulino,
  • Elisa Aires,
  • Diana Viegas,
  • Fabio Hecht,
  • Bruno Halpern,
  • Liana Clebia De Morais Pordeus,
  • Maria da Conceição Rodrigues Gonçalves,
  • Helton Estrela Ramos

DOI
https://doi.org/10.1530/EC-22-0290
Journal volume & issue
Vol. 11, no. 10
pp. 1 – 11

Abstract

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Introduction: The severity of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has been positively correlated with several comorbidities. The primary outcome of the study was to assess the relationship between the mortality and severity of COVID-19 and obesity classes according to BMI, visceral adipose tissue (VAT) area, s.c. adipose tissue area, muscle area (MA), and leptin levels. Methods: In this prospective cohort study, 200 patients hospitalized with moderate-to-severe COVID-19 underwent an unenhanced CT of the thorax and laboratory tests, and leptin levels between June and August 2020 were obtained. Results: Our study included 200 patients (male 52%; mean age: 62 (49–74) years; obesity (BMI > 30): 51.5%)). Fifty-eight patients (23.5%) were admitted to the intensive care unit and 29 (14.5%) died. In multivariate logistic regression (corrected for leptin, sex, age, and serum biomarkers) and receiver operating characteristic curve analyses, high VAT > 150 cm2 (odds ratio (OR): 6.15; P 2 (OR: 13.9; P < 0.0001) were independent risk factors for mortality. Indeed, the Kaplan–Meier curves showed that patients with MA < 92 cm2 and without obesity (BMI < 30) had a lower survival rate (hazard ratio between 3.89 and 9.66; P < 0.0006) than the other groups. Leptin levels were not related to mortality and severity.

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