MethodsX (Jan 2022)

On evaluating the efficiency of the delta-lognormal mean estimator and predictor

  • Philippe Aubry

Journal volume & issue
Vol. 9
p. 101830

Abstract

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A variable taking positive values from a lognormal distribution and null values with a given probability is distributed according to the so-called delta-lognormal distribution. Two situations arise depending on whether the data are regarded as a random sample from an infinite population (superpopulation) or from a finite population, itself considered as a random sample from a superpopulation. In the case of an infinite population, estimating the mean can be accomplished using a uniformly minimum-variance unbiased estimator (UMVUE). Likewise, the prediction of the mean in the case of a finite population may be based on the UMVUE. In both cases, one expects a gain in precision when taking into account the shape of the distribution by relying on the UMVUE rather than on the sample mean, which is a nonparametric estimator (or predictor). 1. For the infinite population case, the relative efficiency results presented in this article are more complete and more accurate than those published so far. 2. The article fills a gap regarding the question of relative efficiency in the case of a finite population. 3. Calculations were performed using the exact expression for the variance of the UMVUE of the mean, expressed in terms of the confluent hypergeometric limit function.

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