Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences (Jun 2011)

Precipitation change in Southern Italy linked to global scale oscillation indexes

  • T. Caloiero,
  • R. Coscarelli,
  • E. Ferrari,
  • M. Mancini

DOI
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-11-1683-2011
Journal volume & issue
Vol. 11, no. 6
pp. 1683 – 1694

Abstract

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This study investigates precipitation variability in five regions of Southern Italy (Campania, Apulia, Basilicata, Calabria and Sicily) using a homogeneous database of about 70 rain gauges with more than 50 years of observation. First, a statistical analysis was performed through the Mann-Kendall non-parametric test in order to determine rainfall the trend on both yearly and seasonal scales. Then, the relationship between the rainfall and some teleconnection pattern indexes was investigated using Spearman's test. The results show remarkable statistically significant negative trends for annual and winter aggregations in most part of the series. Moreover, a strong correlation has emerged between the teleconnection patterns and precipitation in Southern Italy, particularly in winter and on the Tyrrhenian side of the study area.