Prediction of the Behaviour from Discharge Points for Solid Waste Management

Abstract

This research investigates the behaviour of the Discharge Points in a Municipal Solid Waste Management System to evaluate the feasibility of making individual predictions of every Discharge Point. Such predictions could enhance system management through optimisation, improving their ecological and economic impact. The current approaches consider installations as a whole, but individual predictions may yield better results. This paper follows a methodology that includes analysing data from 200 different Discharge Points over a period of four years and applying twelve forecast algorithms found as more commonly used for these predictions in the literature, including Random Forest, Support Vector Machines, and Decision Tree, to identify predictive patterns. The results are compared and evaluated to determine the accuracy of individual predictions and their potential improvements. As the results show that the algorithms do not capture the individual Discharge Points behaviour, alternative approaches are suggested for further development.

Keywords

• municipal solid waste
• prediction
• time series
• regression