Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences (Mar 2023)

Brief communication: On the extremeness of the July 2021 precipitation event in western Germany

  • K. Lengfeld,
  • P. Voit,
  • F. Kaspar,
  • M. Heistermann

DOI
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-23-1227-2023
Journal volume & issue
Vol. 23
pp. 1227 – 1232

Abstract

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The weather extremity index (WEI) and the cross-scale WEI (xWEI) are useful for determining the extremeness of precipitation events. Both require the estimation of return periods across different precipitation duration levels. For this purpose, previous studies determined annual precipitation maxima from radar composites in Germany and estimated the parameters of a generalized extreme value (GEV) distribution. Including the year 2021 in the estimation of GEV parameters, the devastating event in July 2021 drops from a rank of first to fourth regarding the WEI compared to all events between 2001 and 2020 but remains the most extreme regarding the xWEI. This emphasizes that it was extreme across multiple spatial and temporal scales and the importance of considering different scales to determine the extremeness of rainfall events.