Risk assessment of typhoon disaster for the Yangtze River Delta of China

Abstract

A typhoon is one of the most dangerous natural disasters in the Yangtze River Delta of China. Based on an integrated assessment of the disaster risk elements, including hazard factor, exposure, and vulnerability, the risk level of a typhoon disaster for the Yangtze River Delta as a county-level unit was ultimately determined. The result shows that the risk levels of typhoon hazard factor are gradually weakened from the southeastern coastal areas to the northwest, and the highest-risk areas are located in the southeastern coastal regions. Due to many towns, dense population, a developed economy, and a huge disaster-bearing body in the north of the Yangtze River Delta, which is also located on the plain for a high susceptibility to a disaster-breeding environment, the exposure risk level in the northern areas is higher than in the south. The most vulnerable counties are Chun'an, Xianju, Tiantai, and Sanmen in Zhejiang Province, and Baoying and Xinghua in Jiangsu Province. The highest-risk areas for a typhoon disaster are primarily located in the southeastern coastal areas of Zhejiang Province, Hangzhou Bay, and Shanghai near the Yangtze River Estuary, while the lowest-risk areas are distributed in the western portion of Hangzhou and the northern area of the Yangtze River Delta.

Keywords

• typhoon disaster
• exposure
• vulnerability
• risk assessment
• the yangtze river delta