Estimation of Artificial Neural Networks (MLP and RBF) Accuracy in Anticipation of the Dust of the Sabzevar Cement Factory

Abstract

Background and Objective: Dust modeling can be considered as an appropriate tool for predicting future industrial dust and identifying pollutant emission control strategies. Perceptron (MLP) and radial base (RBF) neural networks were used as a means for predicting the outflow dust from the main cogeneration of Sabzevar cement factory located in Khorasan Razavi Province. Method: the concentration of dust from the main cement chimney in the study area was measured through field measurements. Then, the parameters of the production line (temperature, speed of gas output, voltage, fuel, raw materials, and time of sampling) were used as input data to the nerve networks to predict the concentration of dust. The values obtained from the implementation of the models were compared with the results of field measurements as a superior model selection. Results: The analysis of figures and statistical parameters showed that the mean squared errors for the two MLP and RBF models were as much as 1.787 and 21.263, respectively, and the correlation coefficients were as much as 0.99693 and 0.95811, respectively, which indicates a lower error and greater correlation between the MLP and RBF model in predicting the concentration of dust. Conclusion: Because of the high ability of perceptron nervous networks to predict dust concentration, this model can be a convenient and fast solution to predict the amount of dust in the industry.

Keywords

• cement factory
• dust
• artificial neural networks
• air pollution