Ecological Indicators (Dec 2024)
Improved landslide susceptibility assessment: A new negative sample collection strategy and a comparative analysis of zoning methods
Abstract
Landslide susceptibility assessment (LSA) aims to determine the spatial probability of landslides, reducing the loss caused by future landslides. In order to assess the impact of various negative sample collection strategies on the prediction accuracy of the landslide susceptibility assessment (LSA) model, and to investigate the effectiveness of landslide susceptibility zoning methods. Taking Fengjie County, Chongqing City, China as the study area, this study proposes three negative sample collection strategies based on slope unit, buffer zone, and information value, and combines them with C5.0 decision tree (DT) model respectively to construct an LSA model. Concurrently, the landslide susceptibility indexes (LSIs) were divided using the K-means clustering algorithm and contrasted with the natural breakpoint classification (NBC), quantile classification (QC), equal interval classification (EIC), and geometric interval classification (GIC) methods. The results show that: (1) Rainfall, elevation, and water system are the primary conditioning factors of landslide development in the study area. (2) The accuracy of the negative sample collection strategy based on the slope units on the model training subset and the test subset reached 97.78 % and 92.99 %, respectively, and the AUC values were 0.978 and 0.930, indicating high model accuracy. (3) The zoning effect based on the K-means clustering algorithm was the best, and the predicted very-high and high susceptibility areas were 805.73 km2 and 567.66 km2, respectively, accounting for 19.59 % and 13.80 % of Fengjie County. The very-high and high susceptibility areas had maximum FR values of 3.963 and 1.432, respectively, when compared to other zoning methods. This study can provide a more objective and scientific method for LSA, and the findings can offer more precise decision assistance for risk management and geological disaster prevention.
