FF-STGCN: A usage pattern similarity based dual-network for bike-sharing demand prediction.

Abstract

Accurate bike-sharing demand prediction is crucial for bike allocation rebalancing and station planning. In bike-sharing systems, the bike borrowing and returning behavior exhibit strong spatio-temporal characteristics. Meanwhile, the bike-sharing demand is affected by the arbitrariness of user behavior, which makes the distribution of bikes unbalanced. These bring great challenges to bike-sharing demand prediction. In this study, a usage pattern similarity-based dual-network for bike-sharing demand prediction, called FF-STGCN, is proposed. Inter-station flow features and similar usage pattern features are fully considered. The model includes three modules: multi-scale spatio-temporal feature fusion module, bike usage pattern similarity learning module, and bike-sharing demand prediction module. In particular, we design a multi-scale spatio-temporal feature fusion module to address limitations in multi-scale spatio-temporal accuracy. Then, a bike usage pattern similarity learning module is constructed to capture the underlying correlated features among stations. Finally, we employ a dual network structure to integrate inter-station flow features and similar usage pattern features in the bike-sharing demand prediction module to realize the final prediction. Experiments on the Citi Bike dataset have demonstrated the effectiveness of our proposed model. The ablation experiments further confirm the indispensability of each module in the proposed model.