International Journal of Advanced Studies (Nov 2018)
ASSESSMENT AND FORECAST OF DEVELOPMENT OF SMALL TRUCKING COMPANIES IN THE REGION
Abstract
This article discusses the features of small business in the Smolensk region. The composition and structure of industries included in the economy of small business in the region. The role and value of motor transport in functioning of small business in the region are defined. The dynamics of changes in tariffs, range of transportation, the use of vehicles, its structure were considered. The estimation of the efficiency of freight and passenger traffic, carried out by small businesses and their share in the total volume of transport services in the Smolensk region. The volume of transported goods for 12 years falls, i.e. SMEs lose competition to large businesses, because they can not work with large volumes of transported goods. At the same time, both large and small enterprises lose the volume of cargo transportation, yielding to large Metropolitan companies in the competition. As more mobile part of the business, not having the opportunity to work with large quantities, the SME went through the provision of specific services in the freight, taking on certain risks associated with the delivery (e.g. delivery of perishable, valuable, fragile or complex in design or dimensions of the products /goods) and over longer distances in a shorter period, as well as developing the segment of passenger transportation. The length of the road transport route in recent years has been growing dramatically, shifting to new markets for road transport services, in the conditions of fierce competition in the Smolensk market of transport services and the sanctions regime, serving the near and far regions of the country and Belarus. Based on the analysis, the main reasons for the deterioration of the situation of small enterprises engaged in road transport in the region were identified and measures to improve its functioning were proposed. On the basis of the conducted research the forecasts of development of motor transport in small business were given. Purpose – the purpose is to determine the reasons for the decline in the efficiency of small enterprises of motor transport in the region, to identify ways to overcome them and forecast the volume of transport services provided. The method or methodology of the work: the article used methods: statistical, economic-mathematical and economic-statistical methods based on the alignment of the dynamic series on the moving average and on the basis of the average annual growth rates of the volume of transport services. Results: the main results of activity of small business enterprises of motor transport of the Smolensk region are received, measures for their increase on the basis of what the forecast of volume of the provided motor transport services on conservative, basic and target option is defined. Scope of application of the results: the results should be applied by small businesses in the region engaged in the provision of road transport services in the Smolensk region in forecasting their activities.
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