Regional characteristics of extreme precipitation events over Aotearoa New Zealand

Abstract

We document 1394 extreme precipitation events (EPEs) over Aotearoa New Zealand’s (ANZ) Regional Councils between March 1996 and December 2021. The characteristics of EPEs are documented using a novel spatio-temporal framework that diagnoses the peak intensity, duration, and accumulation of the EPE using the ERA-5 and MERRA-2 reanalysis products. Properties of EPEs were evaluated according to region across ANZ, and clear regional differences are highlighted. In particular, it is found that the duration of an EPE has a stronger influence than the peak intensity on the total accumulated precipitation across all regions and precipitation event types (large-scale or convective). Since larger precipitation accumulations have greater potential to cause extensive flooding over larger areas, an important implication is the need for numerical weather prediction in ANZ to forecast the duration of an intense precipitation event adequately in order to improve emergency preparedness.

Keywords

• Extreme precipitation
• Extreme weather event database
• Persistence
• Aotearoa New Zealand