Research on Technology Foresight of Terminal Energy Consumption Based on Delphi Survey

Abstract

In view of China's "carbon peak, carbon neutral" strategy, especially the important point of reaching the carbon peak by 2035 and achieving socialist modernisation, it is important to select a number of priority end-use energy consumption technology topics to promote the company's technological innovation. Based on the results of the two rounds of the Delphi survey, eight end-use energy consumption technologies with a "dual carbon" focus should be prioritised, namely: virtual power plant technology, electric vehicle technology, impact assessment and costing of carbon emissions and reduction, and carbon dioxide capture and storage technology. The results of the Delphi survey show that R&D investment, policy mechanisms and market viability are the main constraints to the completion of these technologies. In response to these constraints, relevant recommendations are made in terms of funding input, institutional development and market development.