Advances in Climate Change Research (Apr 2023)
Spatial and temporal variations of gross primary production simulated by land surface model BCC_AVIM2.0
Abstract
Gross primary production (GPP) is the largest flux and a crucial player in the terrestrial carbon cycle and has been studied extensively, yet large uncertainties remain in the spatiotemporal patterns of GPP in both observations and simulations. This study evaluates the performance of the second version of the Beijing Climate Center Atmosphere−Vegetation Interaction Model (BCC_AVIM2.0) in simulating GPP on multiple spatial and temporal scales in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) experiments. Model simulations driven by two meteorological datasets were compared with two observation-based GPP products covering 1982–2008. Spatial patterns of annual GPP show a significant latitudinal gradient in each dataset, increasing from cold (tundra) and dry (desert) biomes to warm (temperate) and humid (tropical rainforest) biomes. BCC_AVIM2.0 overestimates GPP in most parts of the globe, especially in boreal forest regions and Southeast China, while underestimating GPP in subhumid regions in eastern South America and tropical Africa. The four datasets broadly agree on the GPP seasonal cycle, but BCC_AVIM2.0 predicts an earlier beginning of spring growth and a larger amplitude of seasonal variations than those in the observations. The observation-based datasets exhibit slight interannual variability (IAV) and weak GPP linear trends, while the BCC_AVIM2.0 simulations demonstrate relatively large year-to-year variability and significant trends in the low-latitudes and temperate monsoon regions in North America and East Asia. Regarding the possible relationships between annual means of GPP and climate factors, BCC_AVIM2.0 predicts more extensive regions of the globe where the IAV of annual GPP is dominated by precipitation, especially in mid-to-high latitudes of the Northern Hemisphere and tropical Africa, while the observed GPP in the above regions is temperature- or radiation-dominant. The positive GPP biases due to earlier spring growth in boreal forest regions and negative GPP biases in off-equator tropical areas in the BCC_AVIM2.0 simulations imply that cold stress on biomes in boreal mid-to-high latitudes should be strengthened to restrain plant growth, while drought stress in low-latitude regions might be eased to enhance plant production in the future version of BCC_AVIM.
