Frontiers in Applied Mathematics and Statistics (Oct 2024)

Disentangling dynamic and stochastic modes in multivariate time series

  • Christian Uhl,
  • Annika Stiehl,
  • Nicolas Weeger,
  • Markus Schlarb,
  • Markus Schlarb,
  • Knut Hüper

DOI
https://doi.org/10.3389/fams.2024.1456635
Journal volume & issue
Vol. 10

Abstract

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A signal decomposition is presented that disentangles the deterministic and stochastic components of a multivariate time series. The dynamical component analysis (DyCA) algorithm is based on the assumption that an unknown set of ordinary differential equations (ODEs) describes the dynamics of the deterministic part of the signal. The algorithm is thoroughly derived and accompanied by a link to the GitHub repository containing the algorithm. The method was applied to both simulated and real-world data sets and compared to the results of principal component analysis (PCA), independent component analysis (ICA), and dynamic mode decomposition (DMD). The results demonstrate that DyCA is capable of separating the deterministic and stochastic components of the signal. Furthermore, the algorithm is able to estimate the number of linear and non-linear differential equations and to extract the corresponding amplitudes. The results demonstrate that DyCA is an effective tool for signal decomposition and dimension reduction of multivariate time series. In this regard, DyCA outperforms PCA and ICA and is on par or slightly superior to the DMD algorithm in terms of performance.

Keywords