Опухоли женской репродуктивной системы (Oct 2021)

Estimating long-term overall survival with olaparib as maintenance therapy in patients with newly diagnosed advanced ovarian cancer with BRCA mutations

  • N. A. Avxentyev,
  • S. V. Khokhlova,
  • M. Yu. Frolov,
  • A. S. Makarov

DOI
https://doi.org/10.17650/1994-4098-2021-17-3-97-105
Journal volume & issue
Vol. 17, no. 3
pp. 97 – 105

Abstract

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Background. According to randomized clinical trial SOLO1 olaparib statistically significantly improves progression-free survival versus placebo as a maintenance monotherapy in patients aged 18 and over with newly diagnosed advanced ovarian cancer with BRCA mutations, who had response to first-line chemotherapy. As the data on overall survival (OS) in this trial remains interim it is still uncertain whether treatment with olaparib can provide any benefits in terms of OS.Objective: to evaluate a long-term OS for olaparib versus placebo as a maintenance monotherapy in patients with newly diagnosed advanced ovarian cancer with BRCA mutations, who had response to first-line chemotherapy.Materials and methods. A 10-year mathematic model of disease progression and survival on olaparib versus placebo was developed. Modelling was based on data on progression-free survival from SOLO1 trial and data on OS after platinum-sensitive and platinum-resistant relapses from OCEANS and AURELIA trials. Additionally, patients who haven’t been treated with olaparib after first-line therapy in base-case scenario were assumed to get olaparib as a second-line treatment after platinum-sensitive relapse; mortality modelling for these patients was based on data from SOLO2 trial.Results. Median OS for olaparib was 107 months versus 66 months for placebo. 46 % of patients treated with olaparib were alive by the end of 10-year modelling period, but only 28 % patients from the placebo group. Hazard ratio of death for olaparib versus placebo was 0.64 (95 % confidence interval 0.49–0.84). Probabilistic sensitivity analysis showed robustness of these results.Conclusion. Using olaparib as a maintenance therapy in patients with newly diagnosed advanced ovarian cancer with BRCA mutations, who had response on first line chemotherapy, statistically significantly reduces risk of death by 36 %, compared to placebo.

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