Scenarios for the Hybrid war of Israel against the Islamic Republic of Iran in the horizon of 2029

Abstract

Objective: Since the beginning of the Islamic Revolution, Israel has sought to control and limit Iran's influence and, if possible, to change Iran, and after trying different ways from hard-war to soft influence, it has turned to a new way of war, i.e. its hybrid nature, hence the article. The present is seeking to identify and draw scenarios for the combined war of Israel against the Islamic Republic of Iran in the horizon of 2029.Methodology: The current research is an exploratory description in terms of its practical purpose and in terms of its nature and method, based on the seven-step scenario writing future research method. The statistical sample of the research is 17 professors of armed forces universities, commanders and managers in strategic jobs, and information was collected in a library and field form using brainstorming methods and interviews with experts.Findings: In this article, while using the scenario method, four future scenarios have been drawn around Israel's combined war against Iran, and these scenarios have been narrated by describing four scenario plans.Originality: In the scenario of cyber-electronic attacks, cyber threats against the country's infrastructure have been narrated. In the scenario of cultural invasion, Israel's soft war attack against Iranians is depicted. The hard-war scenario draws the hardware-like drawing of the war in alliance with America, and the scenario of Iran's deterrence power and the inability to impose a combined war describes the country's defense ability in dealing with a combined war in the horizon of 2029.

Keywords

• scenario planning
• israel
• islamic republic of iran
• hybrid war