Nature Communications (Jan 2021)

Bidirectional contact tracing could dramatically improve COVID-19 control

  • William J. Bradshaw,
  • Ethan C. Alley,
  • Jonathan H. Huggins,
  • Alun L. Lloyd,
  • Kevin M. Esvelt

DOI
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-020-20325-7
Journal volume & issue
Vol. 12, no. 1
pp. 1 – 9

Abstract

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Contact tracing is critical to controlling COVID-19, but most protocols only “forward-trace” to notify people who were recently exposed. Using a stochastic branching-process model, the authors show that “bidirectional” tracing to identify infector individuals and their other infectees robustly improves outbreak control.