Stochastic Optimal Control Analysis for HBV Epidemic Model with Vaccination

Abstract

In this study, we explore the concept of symmetry as it applies to the dynamics of the Hepatitis B Virus (HBV) epidemic model. By incorporating symmetric principles in the stochastic model, we ensure that the control strategies derived are not only effective but also consistent across varying conditions, and ensure the reliability of our predictions. This paper presents a stochastic optimal control analysis of an HBV epidemic model, incorporating vaccination as a pivotal control measure. We formulate a stochastic model to capture the complex dynamics of HBV transmission and its progression to acute and chronic stages. By leveraging stochastic differential equations, we examine the model’s stationary distribution and asymptotic behavior, elucidating the impact of random perturbations on disease dynamics. Optimal control theory is employed to derive control strategies aimed at minimizing the disease burden and vaccination costs. Through rigorous numerical simulations using the fourth-order Runge–Kutta method, we demonstrate the efficacy of the proposed control measures. Our findings highlight the critical role of vaccination in controlling HBV spread and provide insights into the optimization of vaccination strategies under stochastic conditions. The symmetry within the proposed model equations allows for a balanced approach to analyzing both acute and chronic stages of HBV.

Keywords

• HBV stochastic model
• stationary distribution
• stochastic asymptotic behavior
• optimal control