Establishment of predictive model for analyzing clinical pregnancy outcome based on IVF-ET and ICSI assisted reproductive technology

Abstract

Objective: In order to explore the predictive model for analyzing clinical pregnancy outcomes based on IVF-ET (in vitro fertilization and embryo transfer) and ICSI (Intracytoplasmic sperm injection) assisted reproductive technology (ART). Methods: this study selected the embryo transfer (fresh) patients who received IVF-ET or ICSI treatment in the First Affiliated Hospital of Guangxi Medical University as the subjects. Moreover, the controlled ovarian stimulation (COS) and follow-up were conducted to collect relevant data for analysis, and finally a prediction model was established. Results: The results showed that the patients were divided into different ovarian response groups at first. The age, bFSH and bFSH/bLH were the highest in the poor ovarian response group (POR), followed by the normal ovarian response group (NOR) and the lowest in the high ovarian response group (HOR). The area under the ROC curve was 0.669 according to the predictive model of pregnancy-related factors. The confidence interval of 94% was 0.629–0.697, with statistical significance (P = 0.000, P < 0.01). Conclusion: it can be concluded that in clinical pregnancy, for many related factors, regression equation can be used to establish a prediction model to diagnose the success rate of pregnancy. In conclusion, a prediction model can be built based on the relevant experimental results, to provide experimental reference ideas for increasing the success rate of ART in late clinical pregnancy, which is of great research significance. Keywords: IVF-ET, Assisted reproductive technology, Prediction model, ICSI, Ovarian response