The effect of afforestation on moist heat stress in Loess Plateau, China

Abstract

Study region: Loess Plateau (LP), China Study focus: This study aimed to research whether and to what degree afforestation contributes to the variations in moist heat stress in the study area. Here, wet bulb, temperature (Tw) was used to quantify the moist heat stress. Subsequently, The Weather Research and Forecasting model (WRF) is applied to simulate the modulation of climate change related to afforestation during 2001–2015. Based on the analysis of energy fluxes, we identified the biogeophysical mechanism of afforestation impact on moist heat stress. New hydrological insights for the region: Since the operation of the “Grain-to-Green” program, LP has experienced widespread afforestation which perturbs energy and water fluxes, affecting regional climate regimes. The forest expansion increases relative humidity but cools the regional temperature. As a significant combined climate factor, the average moist heat stress decreases with the magnitude of − 0.1∼− 0.3 °C in central LP. While the decrease rate of Tw is slower than near-surface temperature. It is worth noting that, an increased signal occurs in the maximum Tw (almost 0.2 °C in eastern and northeastern LP), which might expose humans to the risk of moist heat stress. By the mechanistic analysis, the research shows that the near-surface temperature and sensible heat flux are dominant driving factors for the change of Tw. Furthermore, the subsidence of the planetary boundary layer enhances moist heat stress. Overall, afforestation’s effects on land surface-atmosphere interaction are non-negligible and the moist heat stress should be accounted for in climate change adaptation strategies.

Keywords

• Afforestation
• Moist heat stress
• Climate change
• Heat fluxes
• Loess Plateau