Comparative analysis of a fractional co-infection model using nonstandard finite difference and two-step Lagrange polynomial methods

Abstract

In this work, Caputo fractional model for co-dynamics of two-strains (Alpha and Delta variants) of SARS-CoV-2 and tuberculosis (TB) is formulated. We investigates the basic mathematical analysis, existence of unique solution, stability analysis, sensitivity analysis and simulations of the proposed model. In the basic mathematical analysis, it is proved that the model’s solutions are non-negative, bounded and locally asymptotically stable at disease free equilibrium (DFE) point. The existence of unique solution is proved by using Banach fixed point theorem (BFPT). Stability analysis is carried out by employing Hyers–Ulam stability criteria. Sensitivity analysis is performed to assess the impact of the model parameters on the general dynamics of the model by implementing partial rank correlation coefficient (PRCC) technique. Simulations of the proposed model obtained from non-standard finite difference scheme (NSFDs) are compared with the simulations obtained from two-step Lagrange polynomial method (TLPM). It is concluded that NSFDs gives more accurate and realistic results than TLPM. To assess some control measures necessary for reducing the co-spread of both diseases, comparative simulations are carried out for the infected classes. Also, numerical assessments showed that preventive efforts against SARS-CoV-2 variants could results in the reduction of TB prevalence and the co-infection of both diseases.

Keywords

• Tuberculosis
• SARS-CoV-2 variants
• Co-infection
• Fractional derivative
• Non-standard finite difference scheme
• Two-step Lagrange polynomial method