An infectious way to teach students about outbreaks
Íde Cremin,
Oliver Watson,
Alastair Heffernan,
Natsuko Imai,
Norin Ahmed,
Sandra Bivegete,
Teresia Kimani,
Demetris Kyriacou,
Preveina Mahadevan,
Rima Mustafa,
Panagiota Pagoni,
Marisa Sophiea,
Charlie Whittaker,
Leo Beacroft,
Steven Riley,
Matthew C. Fisher
Affiliations
Íde Cremin
Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Imperial College London, UK
Oliver Watson
Corresponding author at: MRC Centre for Outbreak Analysis and Modelling, Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Imperial College London, London W2 1PG, UK.; Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Imperial College London, UK
Alastair Heffernan
Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Imperial College London, UK
Natsuko Imai
Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Imperial College London, UK
Norin Ahmed
Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Imperial College London, UK
Sandra Bivegete
Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Imperial College London, UK
Teresia Kimani
Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Imperial College London, UK
Demetris Kyriacou
Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Imperial College London, UK
Preveina Mahadevan
Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Imperial College London, UK
Rima Mustafa
Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Imperial College London, UK
Panagiota Pagoni
Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Imperial College London, UK
Marisa Sophiea
Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Imperial College London, UK
Charlie Whittaker
Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Imperial College London, UK
Leo Beacroft
Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Imperial College London, UK
Steven Riley
Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Imperial College London, UK
Matthew C. Fisher
Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Imperial College London, UK
The study of infectious disease outbreaks is required to train today’s epidemiologists. A typical way to introduce and explain key epidemiological concepts is through the analysis of a historical outbreak. There are, however, few training options that explicitly utilise real-time simulated stochastic outbreaks where the participants themselves comprise the dataset they subsequently analyse. In this paper, we present a teaching exercise in which an infectious disease outbreak is simulated over a five-day period and subsequently analysed. We iteratively developed the teaching exercise to offer additional insight into analysing an outbreak. An R package for visualisation, analysis and simulation of the outbreak data was developed to accompany the practical to reinforce learning outcomes. Computer simulations of the outbreak revealed deviations from observed dynamics, highlighting how simplifying assumptions conventionally made in mathematical models often differ from reality. Here we provide a pedagogical tool for others to use and adapt in their own settings. Keywords: Teaching, Outbreak analysis, Pedagogical tool, Simulation analysis, Network reconstruction