Maximum Values of Frozen Soil’s Depth and Hoar Frost’s Thickness Estimated on the Basis of Extreme Values Theory

Abstract

Extreme climatic phenomena present risk factors for agriculture, health, constructions, etc. and are studied profoundly these past years using extreme value theory. Several relation that describe positive extreme values’ probability Generalized Extreme Value and Gumbel distribution are presented in the article. As a example, we show the maps of characteristic and reference values of the maximum depth of the frozen soil and thickness of hoar-frost with a probability of exceeding per year equal to 0,02, which is equivalent to the mean return interval of 50 years. The obtained results could serve as a base for elaboration of national annexes in constructions.

Keywords

• GEV and Gumbel distributions
• frozen soil
• hoar-frost
• return period
• constructions