Treatment outcome and survival status among adult patients treated for lupus nephritis in selected tertiary hospitals of Ethiopia

Abstract

Abstract Lupus nephritis (LN) is kidney involvement of systematic lupus erythematous that ranges from mild to severe and occurs in 60% of adult patients. Despite advances in therapy, LN morbidity and mortality remains high. There is a paucity of data regarding adult LN patient's treatment outcome, survival status, and associated factors in developing countries, particularly in Ethiopia. This study aimed to assess the treatment outcome, survival status, and associated factors of adult patients treated for LN in two selected tertiary hospitals [Tikur Anbessa Specialized Hospital (TASH) and St. Paul’s Hospital Millennium Medical College (SPHMMC)] of Addis Ababa, Ethiopia. A hospital-based retrospective cross-sectional multicenter study was conducted from January 1, 2016 to January 1, 2021. Socio-demographic, clinical, and treatment-related data were collected from patient’s medical records by using a structured abstraction checklist. Descriptive statistics were used to summarize the quantitative data as appropriate. The modified Aspreva Lupus Management Study (mALMS) criteria was applied to categorize LN treatment outcomes into complete, partial, and non-response. Multinomial logistic regression analysis was performed to identify predictors of LN treatment outcome. Patients’ survival was estimated by using Kaplan–Meier and Cox proportion regression analysis. P value < 0.05 was considered to declare statistical significance. A total of 200 LN patients were included in the final analysis. Amongst these, the majority of them (91.5%) were females. The median age of the patients was 28 (15–60) years. The mean duration of treatment follow-up was 28 months. The commonly prescribed immunosuppressive drugs during both the induction (49.5%) and maintenance (60%) phases were a combination of mycophenolate mofetil with prednisolone. Complete, partial, and non-responses at the last follow-up visit accounted for 66.5%, 18.0%, and 15.5%, respectively. Patient survival at the last follow-up visit was more than 90% for patients with complete response to the induction therapy. Non-response at the last follow-up visit was significantly associated with severe disease activity index (adjusted odds ratio [AOR] = 6.25, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.49–26.10), presence of comorbidity (AOR = 0.21, 95% CI 0.05–0.92), baseline leucopenia (AOR = 14.2, 95% CI 1.04–201.3), partial response at the end of induction therapy (AOR = 32.63, 95% CI 1.4–736.0), and duration of induction therapy of greater than 6 months (AOR = 19.47, 95% CI 1.5–258.8). This study unveiled that lower numbers of LN patients were presented with non-response at the last follow-up visit and non-response to induction therapy was associated with lower patients’ survival rates compared with complete or partial response.