Learning Global Evapotranspiration Dataset Corrections from a Water Cycle Closure Supervision

Abstract

Evapotranspiration (E) is one of the most uncertain components of the global water cycle (WC). Improving global E estimates is necessary to improve our understanding of climate and its impact on available surface water resources. This work presents a methodology for deriving monthly corrections to global E datasets at 0.25∘ resolution. A principled approach is proposed to firstly use indirect information from the other water components to correct E estimates at the catchment level, and secondly to extend this sparse catchment-level information to global pixel-level corrections using machine learning (ML). Several E satellite products are available, each with its own errors (both random and systematic). Four such global E datasets are used to validate the proposed approach and highlight its ability to extract seasonal and regional systematic biases. The resulting E corrections are shown to accurately generalize WC closure constraints to unseen catchments. With an average deviation of 14% from the original E datasets, the proposed method achieves up to 20% WC residual reduction on the most favorable dataset.

Keywords

• water cycle
• machine learning
• optimal interpolation