Administration of Critical Technologies in AIC at Regional Level as a Foresight Tool

Abstract

The Foresight technology is considered in world practice as an effective forecasting instrument, intended to research the future, or to prognose the future development of economic activities. Most of the authors consider the use of Foresight at national and global levels – through the theoretical or methodological aspects. Much less considered is the practice of applying Foresight at the regional level. Lack of experience on the practical application is one of the problems in increasing the competitiveness of regions in the prevailing conditions. The article considers the results of use of the method of critical technologies of Foresight concerning agricultural sector at the regional level. A region is regarded as a subject of competitive processes in the context of globalization. The purpose of the research is to determine the critical technology in AIC at the regional level, capable to implement in the final phase of the Foresight application to influence the industry production, markets, environment and, ultimately, competitiveness of the industry in the region. Outlining the scope of usage of Foresight, the authors consider the following key issues of the industry, which are: agri-ecological condition of the land; social issues – creation of workplaces in rural areas, provision of food production for the population, according to the medical norms and at affordable prices. The results of the research have found that the technology of keeping the dairy herd pasture-fed can become a critical technology, a potential factor in the revival of cattle breeding in the region. The presented approach will solve the problem of conservation of soil fertility as key competencies in development of the agri-industrial complex in the region, necessary for obtaining high yields of agricultural crops, and also allow to solve social problems with jobs creation, provision of the population with food products, according to the medical standards, and will impact the development of dairy products market.

Keywords

• foresight
• future prediction
• critical technology
• communication