Статистика и экономика (Jul 2019)
Statistical evaluation of creation and liquidation of organizations in Russia: sectoral and regional aspects
Abstract
The urgency of a comprehensive assessment of the current patterns of establishment and liquidation of legal entities in Russia is due to standing problems of the development of the national economy and increasing the volume of production of goods and rendering of various services, including based on accelerated growth of import substitution. The purpose of the study: to assess the current demography of organizations in Russia, namely the levels of fertility and liquidation of organizations. The analytical assessment is based on two aspects of organizational demography: sectoral and regional. To provide a comparative analysis the assessment was carried out according to the data for 2017 and 2018.Materials and methods. In the course of the study, the following indicators were considered for 19 types of economic activity and 82 regions of our country for 2017 and 2018 as the share of new organizations in the total number of functioning organizations, the share of liquidated organizations, as well as the existing ratio of the number of new and liquidated organizations. Official information of the Federal State Statistics Service on institutional transformations in the economy and demography of organizations was used as initial data. The research methodology is based on the consideration of newly created and liquidated organizations formed by industry and territorial characteristics. Modeling of values’ differentiation of specific weights of such organizations in the total number of the functioning organizations was carried out with the use of functions of density of normal distribution.Results. According to the results of the study, the values of specific weights of new and liquidated organizations in their total number by industry and regions of the country were determined; it was shown that the number of liquidated organizations in most regions and types of economic activities for the period exceeded the number of newly created organizations; lists of regions and industries with high and low values of the considered indicators were established. The study tested and confirmed the following two hypotheses: the presence of a significant differentiation of the specific weights of created and liquidated organizations in the total number of organizations by types of economic activity; the presence of a significant differentiation of the specific weights of created and liquidated organizations in the total number of organizations by region. Conclusion. The results are of theoretical importance in the conduct of research and training of students. Functions of density of normal distribution can be used at justification of plans and programs of development of economy of regions. The practical significance of the research results is associated with the possibility of their use in assessing the possibility of creating enterprises in specific industries and regions. The units of regional and municipal authorities monitoring the business climate can use the results of the work. The given methodological approach and obtained analytical estimates are of interest to financial credit and leasing companies in the justification of their policies, taking into account various activities and regional characteristics.
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