Case-Fatality Risk Estimates for COVID-19 Calculated by Using a Lag Time for Fatality

Abstract

We estimated the case-fatality risk for coronavirus disease cases in China (3.5%); China, excluding Hubei Province (0.8%); 82 countries, territories, and areas (4.2%); and on a cruise ship (0.6%). Lower estimates might be closest to the true value, but a broad range of 0.25%–3.0% probably should be considered.

Keywords

• COVID-19
• case fatality risk
• pandemic
• viruses
• respiratory diseases
• case-fatality risk