Validation of Risk Stratification Criteria to Identify Febrile Neonates at Low Risk of Serious Bacterial Infection

Abstract

Our objective was to evaluate the accuracy of risk stratification criteria for febrile neonates in the emergency department. This was a retrospective study of febrile neonates ≤56 days of age. Patients were low risk for serious bacterial infection (SBI) if all test results were within normal ranges. Three hundred thirty-eight patients were enrolled with a mean age of 32 (±14) days, and 78 (23%) had SBI: 26 (8%) with bacteremia, 48 (14%) with urinary tract infection, 3 (1%) with meningitis, and 11 (3%) with pneumonia. Risk stratification criteria identified 47 (14%) as low risk, 2 of whom had SBI (both with Group B Streptococcus bacteremia). The sensitivity was 97.4% (95% confidence interval = 91.0% to 99.7%), and the negative predictive value was 95.7% (95% confidence interval = 84.8% to 98.9%). The risk stratification criteria have high sensitivity and high negative predictive value for identifying infants at low risk for SBI. Care must be taken to assure reliable follow-up.