MRI-based radiomics signature is a quantitative prognostic biomarker for nasopharyngeal carcinoma

Abstract

Abstract This study aimed to develop prognosis signatures through a radiomics analysis for patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) by their pretreatment diagnosis magnetic resonance imaging (MRI). A total of 208 radiomics features were extracted for each patient from a database of 303 patients. The patients were split into the training and validation cohorts according to their pretreatment diagnosis date. The radiomics feature analysis consisted of cluster analysis and prognosis model analysis for disease free-survival (DFS), overall survival (OS), distant metastasis-free survival (DMFS) and locoregional recurrence-free survival (LRFS). Additionally, two prognosis models using clinical features only and combined radiomics and clinical features were generated to estimate the incremental prognostic value of radiomics features. Patients were clustered by non-negative matrix factorization (NMF) into two groups. It showed high correspondence with patients’ T stage (p < 0.00001) and overall stage information (p < 0.00001) by chi-squared tests. There were significant differences in DFS (p = 0.0052), OS (p = 0.033), and LRFS (p = 0.037) between the two clustered groups but not in DMFS (p = 0.11) by log-rank tests. Radiomics nomograms that incorporated radiomics and clinical features could estimate DFS with the C-index of 0.751 [0.639, 0.863] and OS with the C-index of 0.845 [0.752, 0.939] in the validation cohort. The nomograms improved the prediction accuracy with the C-index value of 0.029 for DFS and 0.107 for OS compared with clinical features only. The DFS and OS radiomics nomograms developed in our study demonstrated the excellent prognostic estimation for NPC patients with a noninvasive way of MRI. The combination of clinical and radiomics features can provide more information for precise treatment decision.