Computed tomography-based radiomics nomogram for prediction of lympho-vascular and perineural invasion in esophageal squamous cell cancer patients: a retrospective cohort study

Abstract

Abstract Purpose Lympho-vascular invasion (LVI) and perineural invasion (PNI) have been established as prognostic factors in various types of cancers. The preoperative prediction of LVI and PNI has the potential to guide personalized medicine strategies for patients with esophageal squamous cell cancer (ESCC). This study investigates whether radiomics features derived from preoperative contrast-enhanced CT could predict LVI and PNI in ESCC patients. Methods and materials A retrospective cohort of 544 ESCC patients who underwent esophagectomy were included in this study. Preoperative contrast-enhanced CT images, pathological results of PNI and LVI, and clinical characteristics were collected. For each patient, the gross tumor volume (GTV-T) and lymph nodes volume (GTV-N) were delineated and four categories of radiomics features (first-order, shape, textural and wavelet) were extracted from GTV-T and GTV-N. The Mann–Whitney U test was used to select significant features associated with LVI and PNI in turn. Subsequently, radiomics signatures for LVI and PNI were constructed using LASSO regression with ten-fold cross-validation. Significant clinical characteristics were combined with radiomics signature to develop two nomogram models for predicting LVI and PNI, respectively. The area under the curve (AUC) and calibration curve were used to evaluate the predictive performance of the models. Results The radiomics signature for LVI prediction consisted of 28 features, while the PNI radiomics signature comprised 14 features. The AUCs of the LVI radiomics signature were 0.77 and 0.74 in the training and validation groups, respectively, while the AUCs of the PNI radiomics signature were 0.69 and 0.68 in the training and validation groups. The nomograms incorporating radiomics signatures and significant clinical characteristics such as age, gender, thrombin time and D-Dimer showed improved predictive performance for both LVI (AUC: 0.82 and 0.80 in the training and validation group) and PNI (AUC: 0.75 and 0.72 in the training and validation groups) compared to the radiomics signature alone. Conclusion The radiomics features extracted from preoperative contrast-enhanced CT of gross tumor and lymph nodes have demonstrated their potential in predicting LVI and PNI in ESCC patients. Furthermore, the incorporation of clinical characteristics has shown additional value, resulting in improved predictive performance.

Keywords

• Esophageal squamous cell cancer
• Lympho-vascular invasion
• Perineural invasion
• Contrast-enhanced CT
• Radiomic
• LASSO