Reliability-Based Design of Protection Net Fences: Influence of Rockfall Uncertainties through a Statistical Analysis

Abstract

Net fences are among the most widespread passive protective measures to mitigate the risk from rockfall events. Despite the current design approach being based on partial safety factors, a more efficient time-dependent reliability approach has been recently introduced by the authors. This method is influenced by various parameters related to the geometry and the kinematics of the block, i.e., the uncertainty related to the distribution of the size of the impacting block, its occurrence probability, and the shape of the right-tail of the distributions of its velocity and trajectory height at the location of the net fence. Furthermore, the block size distribution of the deposit greatly affects the results. The present work focuses on the possible range of such parameters to encompass the great majority of real events. The obtained results are compared with the current design approaches based on fixed partial safety factors. It emerges that the choice of the characteristic mass of the block and the failure probability greatly influence the results. Moreover, if a set of partial safety factors is assigned to different sites, an intrinsic variability in the failure probability has to be accepted. Suggestions for an accurate procedure and future developments are provided.

Keywords

• rockfall
• reliability
• partial safety factors
• net fences