Spatial–Temporal Characteristics and Driving Factors of Visible and Invisible Non-Grain Production of Cultivated Land in Hebei Province Based on GlobeLand 30 and MODIS-EVI

Abstract

The growing problem of non-grain production of cultivated land (NGPOCL) has increased food security risk, garnering attention from China and other nations worldwide. Current research predominantly focuses on the internal planting structure of cultivated land. To more comprehensively measure the level of NGPOCL, we categorized NGPOCL into two types: visible non-grain production of cultivated land (VNGPOCL) and invisible non-grain production of cultivated land (INGPOCL). VNGPOCL and INGPOCL scopes were extracted utilizing land use and vegetation index data, exploring their spatial–temporal characteristics and driving factors through spatial feature analysis and multiple linear regression methods. The findings are as follows: (1) The degree of VNGPOCL shifted from mild to moderate, with its rate increasing from 5.16% in 2000–2010 to 10.82% in 2010–2020. Furthermore, the spatial variation in VNGPOCL indicated a growing east–west disparity while showing a reduction in north–south differences, reflecting significant spatial agglomeration effects. (2) There was a dramatic increase in areas classified as having moderate to severe INGPOCL, with the rate rising from 14.24% in 2000 to 41.47% by 2020. The east–west and north–south disparities concerning INGPOCL diminished rapidly, also indicating strong spatial agglomeration effects. (3) The driving factors for VNGPOCL and INGPOCL differed significantly depending on developmental stages. The results contribute valuable insights into accurately characterizing the spatial–temporal features associated with NGPOCL in Hebei Province while enhancing risk management strategies related to NGPOCL.

Keywords

• cultivated land
• non-grain production
• spatial–temporal characteristics
• driving factors
• Hebei province