Prediction of the Productivity Ratio of Perforated Wells Using Least Squares Support Vector Machine with Particle Swarm Optimization

Abstract

The productivity ratio is a vital metric for assessing the efficiency of perforated completions. Accurate and rapid prediction of this ratio is essential for optimizing the perforation design. In this study, we propose a novel approach that combines three-dimensional finite element numerical simulation and machine learning techniques to predict the productivity ratio of perforated wells. Initially, we obtain the productivity ratio of perforated wells under various perforation parameters using three-dimensional finite element numerical simulation. This generates a sample set for machine learning. Subsequently, we employ the least squares support vector machine (LSSVM) algorithm to establish a prediction model for the productivity ratio of perforated wells. To optimize the parameters of the LSSVM algorithm, we utilize the particle swarm optimization (PSO) algorithm. We compare our proposed PSO-LSSVM model with that established based on other parameter optimization methods and machine learning algorithms, such as Grid search-LSSVM, PSO-ANN, and PSO-RF. Our results demonstrate that the PSO-LSSVM model exhibits rapid convergence, high prediction accuracy, and strong generalization ability in predicting the productivity ratio of perforated wells. This research provides a valuable reference and guidance for optimizing perforation design. Additionally, it offers new insights into predicting the productivity of complex completions.

Keywords

• finite element numerical simulation
• least squares support vector machine
• particle swarm optimization
• productivity ratio
• perforated wells