Research on energy storage capacity analysis and short-term load prediction method for new energy high penetration system

Abstract

The uncertainty of high penetration new energy is strong. After the proportion of electric units is reduced, the flexible resources are suppressed, and the system-level energy storage can effectively relieve the frequency modulation pressure. In this paper, an energy storage capacity analysis method is proposed for new energy high permeability system. The short-term load is predicted by quantile regression analysis, so as to obtain the optimal peak regulation and frequency modulation frequency in operation, so as to further analyze the relationship between new energy permeability, capacity and energy storage power. The results show that the analytical method proposed in this paper can determine the demand capacity of the new energy high permeability system.