Nomograms for predicting the overall survival of patients with cerebellar glioma: an analysis of the surveillance epidemiology and end results (SEER) database

Abstract

Abstract At present, our understanding of cerebellar glioma is still insufficient. This study collected information on patients in the SEER database to identify the predictive factors for patients with cerebellar glioma. Data from patients with cerebellar glioma diagnosed from 1975 to 2018 were retrieved from the Surveillance Epidemiology and End Results Database. We randomly divided the patients into a training group and a validation group, established a nomogram based on the training group, and used the validation group data to verify the clinical value of the model. A total of 508 patients were included in this study. Multivariate analysis was performed based on the data before randomization, and the results showed that the patient's age, WHO grade, histological type, and extent were significantly correlated with the survival rate. The C-index of the OS nomograms of the training cohort was 0.909 (95% CI, (0.880–0.938)) and 0.932 (95% CI, (0.889–0.975)) in the validation group. The calibration curve of OS for 3 and 5 years showed that there was good consistency between the actual survival probability and the predicted survival probability. For patients with cerebellar glioma, the age at diagnosis, WHO grade of the glioma, histological type, and extension are the four factors that most strongly affect the overall survival outcomes. Furthermore, our model may be a useful tool for predicting OS in these patients.